Oct 18

Dow Jones And Wall Street Surge Again

Wall Street experienced its most dramatic surge in two weeks for 27 months, the weekly balance sheet is staggering for the Nasdaq that literally explodes from 7.6% (its biggest gain since mid-July 2009!)

The Dow Jones flew from 1.45% to 11.644Pts, the ‘S & P of 1.75% (it is beyond the in extremis 1220) and the Nasdaq 1.82 % to 2.668Pts).

The willingness to take the indices to the highest of the day, week and month of October is obvious: the great flood of resistance monitored by the stock charts was obtained in the last quarter of an hour (in whenever such for 10 days) and even more specifically at the end of the last 3 minutes.

It is the oil services which soared: there are no fewer than 15 among the 20 highest increases in the ‘S & P-500′ … and the securities industry grew massively from 5% on average! This kind of increases ‘opportunistic’ (or steep drop-offs) that trigger signals techniques ‘last minute’ are highly suspect and betray the most manipulative strategies.

It is clear on Friday that the ‘final sprint’, which carries all the resistance-is linked to the justify any news (not even a little ‘rumor’ used as an excuse to put in their mouths). Relapse of the index stress ‘VIX’ under 30 then to 9:55 p.m. under 29 also appears to have been orchestrated. Difficult indeed to say that the figures of the day formally dismiss the scenario of sluggish growth in the fourth quarter.

Wall Street has clearly marked the blow to 4:30 p.m. when the University of Michigan disclosed a fall of -1.8 Pts index of consumer confidence in the United States in early October (to 55.7, which was twice as high that ‘expected).

The indices had however been doped at the opening by the number of retail sales in the United States plubliés to 2:30 p.m.: the increase amounts to 1.1% in September while the consensus is for 0.7% (in the retail sales climbed 0.6% excluding also automobile, which was two times better than expected).

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Oct 11

New Growth For Japanese Economy

The growth of the Japanese economy is expected to remain supported by foreign demand, especially from emerging markets, said Tuesday the Bank of Japan (BoJ), while emphasizing the uncertainty surrounding the outlook.

In its monthly economic report, the central bank also estimated that Japanese production would continue to rise in the fourth quarter, but at a slower pace than over the period from July to September.

“Some companies say that the global economic slowdown begins to affect their export orders,” wrote the BoJ in its report of October. “Therefore we must monitor the downside risks, mainly in the electronic components industry, which has a stock adjustment.”

The National Bank has added to closely monitor the impact of yen appreciation on exports of the archipelago.

While automotive exports will continue to grow with the restocking of manufacturers outside of Japan, global demand for electronic components is expected to slow due to lower sales of personal computers and televisions, according to the monthly report.

Friday, the Bank of Japan adopted a tone slightly more worried about slower growth abroad, but left its monetary policy unchanged.

Some members of the BoJ fear growing that the Japanese economy will lose the support of external demand, as she is just the damage caused by the tsunami of March. They could therefore call for a further easing of monetary policy at the next board meeting of the Bank on October 27.

A major revision of the recovery scenario would increase the chances of such flexibility, explained the sources with knowledge of how the BoJ.

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Oct 11

US indices undecided on overall direction

US indices are again partying all over the Friday night in New York. The day began on a positive note thanks to the employment figures, the consolidation was then taken away when the operators are advised that 103 000 jobs, it was not a very impressive figure given the return to work of employees laid off in August.

But shortly after lunch time, buyers have taken hold of the hope that the meeting between Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel leads a significant step forward in resolving the crisis in Greece (and the consolidation of European banks’ capital ).

The German position about a recapitalization has evolved in recent days, it is summarized by the statement of Wolfgang Schäuble, which summarizes the arguments of Angela. Merkel Friday: ‘We must ensure that banks have sufficient capital’ .

Optimism seemed to triumph in the closing 20 minutes (all indices US evolved in the green, the Dow Jones gained 0.8% when the trend abruptly switched back down when Wall Street has learned that the agency Fitch in turn degraded the notation of Italy but also two notches that of Spain (on the grounds that this country has low growth and regional finances are in very bad shape).

The three major indices plunged US-1.3% in a totally linear-in less than half an hour andTHE Dow Jones back in the end of -0.18% and the Nasdaq of -1.10%, the s & P -0.82% to 1155.5 let go Pts in the wake of bank stocks.

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